Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.094365 0.108982 0.125115 0.144241 0.166304 0.190962 0.220624
2026-01-25 0.069567 0.088706 0.111986 0.142396 0.181102 0.228766 0.292008
2026-02-01 0.054861 0.074975 0.101164 0.137779 0.187710 0.253528 0.347079
2026-02-08 0.047158 0.068193 0.097141 0.139919 0.201632 0.287621 0.416914
2026-02-15 0.040990 0.062240 0.092919 0.140483 0.212525 0.317847 0.484113
2026-02-22 0.036499 0.057892 0.090129 0.142298 0.224832 0.350789 0.558495
2026-03-01 0.031798 0.052482 0.084890 0.139425 0.229197 0.371675 0.616165
2026-03-08 0.028062 0.048051 0.080520 0.137174 0.233927 0.393156 0.676657
2026-03-15 0.025594 0.045361 0.078573 0.138521 0.244487 0.424909 0.757448
2026-03-22 0.024327 0.044540 0.079605 0.144957 0.264300 0.474134 0.873742
2026-03-29 0.022838 0.043124 0.079393 0.149076 0.280319 0.518212 0.985539
2026-04-05 0.021384 0.041581 0.078748 0.152254 0.294833 0.560891 1.099250
2026-04-12 0.019761 0.039568 0.077077 0.153432 0.305949 0.598918 1.209504
2026-04-19 0.017936 0.036950 0.073975 0.151491 0.310807 0.625575 1.300713
2026-04-26 0.016008 0.033889 0.069655 0.146578 0.309064 0.638893 1.366133
2026-05-03 0.015033 0.032678 0.068897 0.148855 0.322297 0.683711 1.502205
2026-05-10 0.013996 0.031209 0.067437 0.149456 0.331986 0.722082 1.628670
2026-05-17 0.013177 0.030118 0.066645 0.151387 0.344715 0.768137 1.777135
2026-05-24 0.012030 0.028160 0.063762 0.148329 0.345946 0.789138 1.871155
2026-05-31 0.011049 0.026472 0.061295 0.145934 0.348389 0.813020 1.974451
2026-06-07 0.010433 0.025568 0.060511 0.147367 0.359920 0.858840 2.135079
2026-06-14 0.010222 0.025614 0.061933 0.154216 0.385158 0.939350 2.389411
2026-06-21 0.009860 0.025247 0.062330 0.158599 0.404823 1.008542 2.623410